"In the United States, before the pandemic, an average of about two million people over the age of sixty-five died annually. These deaths were, of course, from an assortment of causes, including heart disease, cancer, and old age. Given that the U.S. has a population of about fifty-one million over sixty-five, this means roughly 4% of such individuals die each year, irrespective of the coronavirus.
So, what will happen once everyone starts getting a coronavirus vaccine? Will these deaths suddenly stop? Of course not. In fact, assuming that everyone over the age of sixty-five gets vaccinated over the course of a year, we can do simple statistics to make some important predictions.
First, we can predict that one out of every 365 of those two million deaths will happen within twenty-four hours after receiving a coronavirus vaccine. We can also predict that one out of every fifty-two will occur within a week. By the numbers, this is a lot of deaths: about 5,500 and 38,500, respectively. Remember, these are deaths that will happen irrespective of whether the vaccine contributes to mortality. These are deaths that are predicted to be paired, by random chance, with the event of vaccination. I feel horrible reducing human life to such a set of statistics but, unfortunately, the numbers don’t lie.
Now, what do you think will happen when Americans, especially those unversed in science or medicine, start reporting that their parent or grandparent perished a day or a few days after receiving a coronavirus vaccine?"
nationalinterest.org
So, what will happen once everyone starts getting a coronavirus vaccine? Will these deaths suddenly stop? Of course not. In fact, assuming that everyone over the age of sixty-five gets vaccinated over the course of a year, we can do simple statistics to make some important predictions.
First, we can predict that one out of every 365 of those two million deaths will happen within twenty-four hours after receiving a coronavirus vaccine. We can also predict that one out of every fifty-two will occur within a week. By the numbers, this is a lot of deaths: about 5,500 and 38,500, respectively. Remember, these are deaths that will happen irrespective of whether the vaccine contributes to mortality. These are deaths that are predicted to be paired, by random chance, with the event of vaccination. I feel horrible reducing human life to such a set of statistics but, unfortunately, the numbers don’t lie.
Now, what do you think will happen when Americans, especially those unversed in science or medicine, start reporting that their parent or grandparent perished a day or a few days after receiving a coronavirus vaccine?"
The National Interest: Blog
nationalinterest.org
